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All the problems in forex short-term trading,
Have answers here!
All the troubles in forex long-term investment,
Have echoes here!
All the psychological doubts in forex investment,
Have empathy here!


In the context of two-way (long/short) forex trading, a trader’s development can be categorized into six core stages. The vast majority of market participants remain stuck in the first two stages, unable to advance their capabilities.
Stage 1: Intuitive, Random Trading and Blind Following. This is the initial phase for forex novices. Traders at this stage lack a structured trading system or any awareness of risk management; all long or short positions are based entirely on subjective intuition. Lacking the professional ability to analyze market conditions, these traders primarily follow the herd—chasing rallies and selling into declines. The nature of two-way forex trading often leads them to switch between long and short positions arbitrarily and trade with excessive frequency. Accounts at this stage experience extreme volatility and a complete lack of stability. Traders often harbor cognitive biases: they attribute individual wins to their own skill, while blaming losses on "market conditions." Unable to confront their own shortcomings, they remain trapped in a state of blind, disorganized, two-way trading.
Stage 2: Accumulating Technical Indicators and Mechanical, Formulaic Trading. Upon realizing the pitfalls of blind trading, traders begin to actively study various technical analysis tools. Through courses, books, and chart analysis (backtesting or drawing trend lines), they accumulate a repertoire of methods, attempting to base their long and short positions on technical signals.
The core weakness of this stage is clear: traders become overly reliant on rigid technical indicators and fixed formulas, attempting to counter the inherent randomness of the forex market—and the volatility driven by human emotion—with an inflexible approach. In practice, this frequently leads to failed technical signals, market reversals immediately after a stop-loss is triggered, and missed trend opportunities. The fundamental issue is that traders focus only on the surface-level "techniques" of trading while ignoring the underlying laws that govern market movement. By obsessing over the "tactics" (the *shu*) rather than the "principles" (the *dao*) of the market, they fall into the primary trap that causes most traders to suffer persistent, long-term losses.
Stage 3: Streamlining Trading Rules and Building a Foundational Trading System. After accumulating extensive technical expertise, traders often break through cognitive bottlenecks and develop a core trading philosophy: the foreign exchange market offers a diverse range of profit models, and there is no need to master them all. Instead, one should tailor an approach to their own unique trading style and construct a personalized trading logic.
At this stage, traders begin to simplify their approach—discarding complex, redundant technical indicators and models to focus on a core logic. They base their two-way (long/short) trading solely on market trends, key support and resistance levels, and high-probability candlestick patterns. They engage only with market movements that fall within their sphere of understanding and offer a high degree of certainty, while actively avoiding ambiguous, range-bound, or highly volatile, unpredictable conditions. While a foundational two-way trading system can be established here, it often comes with clear limitations: a lack of execution discipline, where personal emotions interfere with established rules, making it difficult to consistently follow a trading plan.
Stage Four: Solidifying trading discipline and overcoming inherent human weaknesses. By this stage, traders have developed a standardized system. Every aspect—opening long or short positions, taking profits, managing risk through stop-losses, and position sizing—is governed by clear, actionable criteria. The challenge is no longer "how to trade," but rather achieving the alignment of knowledge and action. In practice, emotional deviations often arise: hesitating to exit a losing trade at a predetermined stop-loss level, entering positions without a valid signal, or adding to a position against the prevailing trend.
Traders must engage in targeted self-correction, reviewing each trade—whether long or short—to document every instance of rule-breaking and systematically eliminate emotional trading behaviors. Through long-term refinement, trading rules evolve into instinctive habits, removing internal friction and ensuring that the established rules are executed consistently and precisely.
Stage Five: Recognizing that profit and loss share the same origin, and anchoring the system to a positive expectancy. Traders arrive at a fundamental realization: profit and loss are two sides of the same coin. In two-way forex trading, losses incurred within the framework of a disciplined strategy are not "mistakes," but rather the necessary cost of pursuing market gains—a standard, expected expense of trading.
At this stage, traders have completely moved beyond the mindset of fixating on the gains or losses of individual trades. They neither become overconfident following a profitable long or short position, nor do they grow anxious when a stop-loss is triggered. The core focus shifts away from short-term market fluctuations or the outcome of a single trade, centering instead on the long-term positive expectancy of the trading system. As long as the logic behind a long or short position is sound and the system possesses a long-term positive yield, the trader executes every trade with discipline, calmly accepting all reasonable gains and losses that occur within the framework of the system.
Stage Six: Trading as an Expression of Insight—Perceiving the Fundamental Nature of Market Dynamics. Traders no longer view two-way forex trading merely as a tool for profit; rather, they look past price fluctuations to gain insight into the underlying essence of how the market functions. Market movements—rises and falls—are, in essence, the result of a global tug-of-war between capital and the cyclical shifts in overall market sentiment. The transitions between trending and ranging (oscillating) markets are fundamentally driven by the ebb and flow of collective market sentiment.
At this stage, a trader’s mindset has reached full maturity. When holding a position, they remain rational and composed, free from anxiety or inner conflict; when out of the market, they wait patiently for high-quality opportunities, devoid of any impulsive urge to trade. They remain humble in victory and resilient in defeat. Every long or short trade becomes an instinctive expression of their deep-seated understanding—no longer requiring conscious restraint or forced adjustment. Trading is no longer a deliberate, effortful act, but has become a natural, normalized behavior that aligns perfectly with the trader’s own cognition and character.
In summary, every advancement through these stages of forex trading represents a fundamental reshaping of one’s trading cognition. Traders can use these six stages to accurately assess their current level and identify the path for their future development.

In the two-way world of forex trading, the accumulation of wealth is fundamentally a matter of differences in cognition and the choices one makes. Many people remain trapped by a "poverty mindset," fixated on maintaining a superficial appearance of status or seeking immediate gratification. In contrast, truly mature investors remain consistently focused on asset appreciation and long-term compound growth. This logic is particularly pronounced in the two-way, long-or-short environment of the forex market.
Most people tend to spend their capital on consumable items—such as cars or fashion—that offer only fleeting, ego-driven gratification while the assets themselves depreciate over time, leaving no possibility for appreciation. Mature traders, by contrast, follow a counterintuitive logic: they prefer to deploy capital into the foreign exchange (forex) market to capture gains from price swings, rather than depleting their principal for momentary pleasure. The core of wealth accumulation lies in deferring immediate gratification, preserving one’s principal to build an asset system capable of sustainable growth—much like keeping a flock of egg-laying hens. By using the returns to compound the principal, one can eventually reach a point where passive income from these assets covers the costs of a high-quality lifestyle, allowing for measured enjoyment of the fruits of one’s labor.
In the forex market, the two-way trading mechanism means that risk and opportunity are inextricably linked; profit and loss stem from the same source. This is the fundamental logic of trading. Average investors often fall into one of two extremes: either they avoid market volatility entirely—missing out on potential windfalls—or they blindly chase opportunities, falling for dubious trading channels or schemes, taking impulsive, heavy-leveraged bets, and ultimately exiting the market with losses. In reality, market volatility is not merely synonymous with risk; extreme fluctuations—often driven by heightened market sentiment—frequently harbor opportunities for correction and arbitrage.
Ultimately, trading gains and wealth accumulation depend on one’s own deep-seated understanding, not just on the experiences shared by others. Even if one possesses excellent trading strategies or identifies prime market opportunities, without a personally developed trading system and a robust framework for risk management, one cannot effectively execute trades or safeguard any profits. Conversely, many high-income individuals fail to accumulate wealth precisely because they engage in persistent, unproductive consumption and follow the herd in their trading. Only by cultivating a long-term asset-building mindset—eschewing superficial consumption and viewing the gains and losses inherent in a two-way market with a rational perspective—can one break free from the common wealth trap and achieve steady, long-term asset accumulation.

Amidst the clamor of the foreign exchange market, the two-way trading mechanism is often hailed as the "ultimate weapon" for investors.
This mechanism grants traders unprecedented freedom—the ability to go both long and short—breaking the constraints of a one-sided market. Furthermore, the "T+0" settlement rule allows for same-day buying and selling, pushing capital efficiency to its absolute limit. On the surface, this appears to be the perfect instrument for capturing market volatility; yet, in the brutal reality of actual trading, these seemingly invincible advantages often become the very culprits behind rapid losses—or even the forced exit—of many traders.
For those new to the forex market or lacking sufficient discipline, the "freedom" afforded by two-way trading frequently devolves into a fatal temptation. The ability to short-sell creates the illusion that one can precisely time the market peak, leading traders to compulsively attempt to "pick the top" during an uptrend, hoping to capture every minor pullback. Conversely, the ease of going long entices traders to "bottom-fish" during a downtrend, vainly attempting to buy at the absolute lowest point. This impulse to constantly "pick tops and bottoms" is, in essence, a disregard for the inherent uncertainty of the forex market. While two-way trading is intended to be a strategic tool for flexibly shifting positions in line with market trends, it has unfortunately become a breeding ground for frequent, counter-trend trading.
This blind approach proves particularly disastrous in short-term trading. Given the rapidly shifting nature of the forex market, many traders mistakenly equate high-frequency trading with high returns, becoming obsessed with capturing marginal price differences within extremely short timeframes. However, high-frequency trading is an exceptionally sharp double-edged sword. Without a rigorous trading system and a resilient mindset, frequent market entry and exit not only drastically inflate transaction costs—with spreads and commissions silently eroding one’s principal like termites—but also exponentially increase the probability of making errors.
Every high-frequency opening and closing of a position serves as a test of one’s psychological fortitude. When traders become consumed by the thrill of "day-trading" (buying and selling within the same session), they often lose sight of the core principles of risk management. A single ill-fated, heavy-leveraged attempt to "buy the dip"—or a failed effort to pick a top against the prevailing trend—can be enough to wipe out the cumulative gains from dozens of previous, small-profit trades. This phenomenon—where profits are eked out "thread by thread" while losses gush forth like a burst dam—is all too common among high-frequency traders.
Ultimately, many forex investors do not lose because of the market itself, but because of the excessive freedom granted by two-way (long/short) trading. Intoxicated by the flexibility to go long or short, they sink ever deeper into the quagmire of high-frequency trading, eventually exhausting their principal and exiting the market in defeat. While the two-way mechanism in forex is intended as a tool for risk hedging and arbitrage for mature traders, without a sense of caution and strict self-discipline, it ceases to be a fast track to wealth and instead becomes an accelerator toward an abyss of losses.

In two-way forex trading, most traders fail to grasp a crucial reality: only certain types of market conditions allow profits to truly run. The root causes of losses, the erosion of unrealized gains, and the inability to hold onto winning positions all stem from a single mistake: blindly maintaining positions in hopes of massive profits, regardless of the actual market trend or timeframe.
The following three market scenarios are entirely unsuitable for "letting profits run" and represent the most common traps traders fall into:
1. Rebounds within a downtrend. Because forex allows for two-way trading, many traders attempt to "buy the dip" during a bearish trend, occasionally securing a temporary, unrealized profit. However, in a market dominated by bears, such rebounds are merely fleeting corrections—they lack sustainability and quickly give way to a resumption of the downtrend. Unrealized gains evaporate, often turning into actual losses. Trading against the trend provides no foundation for profits to grow.
2. Range-bound, sideways oscillation. For the majority of the time, the forex market remains in a state of oscillation, with prices fluctuating within a fixed range and no clear direction—neither bullish nor bearish. If you enter a position at a low point and, after capturing a modest gain, attempt to hold it for the long term to maximize profits, you will often find yourself "shaken out"—repeatedly stopped out as the price fluctuates. The market may pull back upon hitting resistance or rebound upon hitting support, lacking any sustained, one-sided momentum. In the end, you frequently see paper profits evaporate, end up exiting at break-even, or even incur a loss; such scenarios are ill-suited for swing trading.
Third, consider one-sided moves on smaller timeframes. Traders might focus on 5-minute, 15-minute, or hourly charts, betting heavily on a short-term rally. However, smaller timeframes are rife with market noise and randomness, offering very little continuity. A trend can reverse in just a few candlesticks, making stop-loss hits and sudden reversals the norm. These weak trends cannot support significant swing-trading gains; whether you go long or short, the price rarely sustains a meaningful move.
In two-way forex trading, there are only two scenarios truly suitable for holding a position and "letting your profits run": clear, well-defined trends on medium or large timeframes.
Whether it is a bullish or bearish trend on a daily or four-hour chart, as long as the timeframe is substantial and the direction is clear, market capital tends to align in one direction, resulting in strong trend continuity. Mid-trend pullbacks or rebounds are merely brief pauses that do not easily alter the overall trajectory. Only within these clear, medium-to-large-scale trends is there room for profits to expand consistently, and only then can you achieve a high success rate and a favorable risk-reward ratio by trading in the direction of the trend.
The core logic: "Letting profits run" is not a universal rule—you shouldn't blindly hold a position simply because it shows a paper profit. For counter-trend rebounds, range-bound oscillations, or short-term, small-scale trends, you should always aim for short-term gains and "lock in" your profits; do not be greedy by chasing large swing-trading moves. Only by identifying a clear, medium-to-large-scale trend and holding a position in line with that direction can you truly allow your profits to grow and successfully sustain your position.

In two-way forex trading, you can participate in both long and short positions, offering greater freedom in choosing your direction; however, the inherent volatility and leverage also amplify a trader's emotional vulnerabilities.
Every long or short position is inevitably colored by greed, fear, envy, or wishful thinking. While a single trade might not reveal underlying issues, over the long term, emotional biases and impulsive actions will inevitably manifest in your trading records and account balance.
The foreign exchange market is highly volatile, with frequent shifts between long and short positions. A common scenario: others profit by going long while you get trapped going short; or, while others ride a clear, one-sided trend, you find yourself constantly missing out—buying too late or selling too early. Driven by impatience or a desire to keep pace with others, you might close out a position that was actually well-timed and appropriately placed, only to chase the market or follow the herd. Often, the moment you enter with a heavy position, the market reverses, leaving you in a vulnerable, reactive state.
When a position shows a floating profit, greed often takes the driver’s seat. As the price approaches support or resistance levels, traders frequently fail to trim their positions or lock in gains, hoping instead for an even larger profit from a sustained trend. When the market inevitably fluctuates or pulls back, those hard-won gains are gradually eroded—sometimes even turning into losses.
Conversely, when a position shows a floating loss and the market moves against you, fear disrupts your judgment. As the account drawdown deepens, many lose their grasp on the broader trend and panic-sell, often exiting right at the low of a pullback or the start of a rebound. At other times, when a clear breakout or trend reversal has already occurred, some traders cling to wishful thinking—refusing to admit a mistake or cut their losses, hoping for a sudden market recovery. This turns a small loss into a major one, leaving them deeply trapped in a losing position.
The market itself has no agenda; the constant oscillation between long and short is simply the nature of trading, not a deliberate attempt to target any individual. Yet, this relentless cycle of ups and downs repeatedly exposes a trader’s weaknesses. An occasional profitable trade—driven by emotion or pure luck—can easily lead one to believe their strategy is flawless. This often results in the relaxation of trading rules, the neglect of position sizing and risk management, and the gradual entrenchment of poor habits, reinforced by the very profits that were gained by chance.
In the long run, you come to realize that the core of forex trading is never about accurately predicting every market move; rather, it is about the consistent management of one’s own emotions. Most traders can discern the general bullish or bearish trend and recognize common signals; what truly sets the best apart is their ability to manage position sizes amidst two-way market fluctuations, execute take-profit and stop-loss orders, and keep greed, fear, and wishful thinking in check. They do not recklessly increase positions simply because of unrealized gains, nor do they panic-sell out of a fear of losses. While one may trade in either direction—long or short—discipline must remain steadfast and consistent throughout.



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